Institute for the Study of Asymmetric Conflict

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November 15, 2015
Needed: A New Security Paradigm

Among the other conclusions that we can glean at this point from the Paris attacks is that the bombs were likely constructed in Paris itself, and that the suicide bombings were a failure from the point of view of ISIS. This means that we're likely to see more shooting attacks in the future, which will require a very different strategy for security. Up until now, the modus operandi of the various groups in Europe has been heavily slanted towards bombings, rather than automatic weapons. That is likely to change. 

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By Yael Shahar
Rating: Zero stars
September 11, 2014
Where were you on September 11th?

It's probably the question that gets asked more than any other on this day: where were you on September 11? It's taken for granted that we all remember exactly where we were and what we were doing. 

Nor is the assumption an erroneous one. 

Yes, I do indeed remember where I was and what I was doing at that moment.  I was writing up an analysis piece on the Taliban's assassination of the commander of the northern alliance for the Institute for Counter-Terrorism. The news on the radio reported that a plane had hit one of the Towers. I stopped typing and began web surfing to find out if it was an accident or an act of terrorism. Then the second plane hit, and everyone in the building headed down the hall to the conference room, in which we had a television showing CNN.

When I retired from ICT some years back, I went through my computer, clearing out old files, backing up those I might need. I came across that analysis piece on the Taliban assassination. I never completed it. 

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By Yael Shahar
Rating: Zero stars
September 15, 2013
Syria and the Syntax of Deterrence

Does U.S. President Barack Obama’s decision to suspend his threat of a military attack on Syria represent a victory for deterrence or “an act of provocative weakness”?

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By Don Radlauer
Tags: Syria, Deterrence, laws of war, Don Radlauer
Rating: 0.0 star
September 22, 2012
Terrorism in Benghazi—or was it “just one of those things”?

In a recent Foreign Policy article, NYU professor Louis Klarevas takes issue with the White House's labeling of the recent Benghazi attack as a “self-evident” act of terrorism, since it is not yet clear that the attack was pre-planned. In fact, Professor Klarevas' standards for premeditation are unreasonably high.

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By Don Radlauer
Tags: terrorism, definition, Benghazi, Libya
Rating: 0.0 star
August 13, 2012
Is Fourth Generation Warfare really new?

Fourth Generation Warfare (4GW) is often touted as the newest phase in the evolution of warfare, the shape of things to come in modern conflicts, where victory is in the field of public opinion rather than the battlefield. But is there there really anything new in all this? As with any worthwhile question, the answer is "yes and no".

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By Don Radlauer
Tags: 4gw, Generations of warfare, Fourth Generation Warfare
Rating: Zero stars
November 17, 2010
Can Israel accept a nuclear Iran?

Deterrence is, first and foremost, a conversation between rivals. For it to be effective, both sides need to be convinced that the other side is, in fact, deterred.  Can Israel be satisfied that Iran will not conduct a preemptive strike? Can Iran rest assured that Israel is convinced enough that Iran is deterred enough not to strick first?

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By Don Radlauer
Tags: Iran, nuclear deterrence
Rating: Zero stars
Demolitions and Deterrence: Cheap Politics Meets Institutionalized Rage

Do home demolitions really reduce the threat of suicide terrorism, or is their supposed deterrent value just an excuse for "acting out"?

(Originally published 7 December 2005.)

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Rating: Zero stars